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BOSTON CELTICS (15-15) at DALLAS MAVERICKS (20-12)
2012-02-20
Tip-off: Monday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -6, Total: 182
The slumping Celtics look to get back on track Monday night when they visit a Dallas team licking its wounds after allowing 104 points in New York on Sunday.
Boston has dropped three in row, including two to lowly Detroit, but the team has played well in Big D, winning six straight ATS, including three SU wins in the past four trips. Paul Pierce has 27.2 PPG (51.4% FG) in these past six visits to Dallas. The Mavs have been out-rebounded by 14 boards over the past four games. And the Celtics have another strong trend in their favor, as Doc Rivers is 28-6 ATS (82.4%) as Boston's coach in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of the past 7 games. The pick here is BOSTON to win ATS.
The Celtics couldn’t do much right in Sunday’s 96-81 loss in Detroit, shooting just 44% from the floor and turning the ball over 22 times. Some of that had to do with a frustrated Rajon Rondo (14.8 PPG, 9.5 APG) who was 1-of-6 FG with six turnovers before getting ejected in the third quarter. Rondo’s play will be key for Boston, especially considering he scored 24 points the last time he faced Dallas on Jan. 11, a 90-85 defeat. Kevin Garnett had 16 in that meeting, but his status is uncertain for Monday’s game after not playing Sunday due to personal reasons. If Garnett can’t go, Chris Wilcox (5.3 PPG) will remain in the starting lineup for the fourth time in five games. Wilcox is averaging 14.0 PPG (68% FG) and 8.0 RPG in those three starts this season.
Despite allowing the Knicks to score 104 points Sunday, Dallas has been a very good defensive team all season, holding opponents to 91.2 PPG on 41.6% FG. Star PF Dirk Nowitzki (19.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG) battled injuries for the early part of the season, but he is starting to get on a roll with 25.3 PPG on 51% FG in his past nine games.
He scored 34 points (11-of-20 FG) in Sunday’s loss. Jason Terry (14.7 PPG), who missed the previous two games due to a quad injury and personal reasons, was able to return on
Sunday. He played pretty well with 13 points, seven rebounds and six assists, but shot just 3-of-10 from three-point range. In his past five games versus the Celtics, Terry is averaging 15.6 PPG on just 42.9% FG. Vince Carter (10.9 PPG) usually plays well against Boston, averaging 21.4 PPG in 47 career meetings with the Celtics.
Possible ROY in the NBA 2010-2011 Season
2010-06-25
Although the NBA Draft is less than two weeks away, teams are still finalizing their research and determining the best fit for their franchise. Undoubtedly, many will struggle in deciding whether it’s best to pursue a player who is NBA ready and able to contribute right away or another player who has tremendous potential but will need seasoning. If a team’s goal is to draft a player capable of winning Rookie of The Year, here are some players they should consider, and all NBA betting will be keeping a close watch on:
Favorites:
• John Wall- Wall is one of the most breathtaking players to enter the draft in years. Although he only spent one year in college, he displayed the skills that have GMs and coaches salivating over him. He has adequate size for a point guard at 6’ 4” and amazing speed. He excels at finishing in transition and or using his adept passing skills to find the open man. He also utilizes an explosive first step in the half court game to get to the rim. All of these qualities translate well to the NBA, where the game is played at a much faster pace. It also must be noted that Wall is accustomed to playing with talented teammates and won’t be intimidated by his NBA surroundings.
• Evan Turner- Turner’s brilliance often gets lost in Wall’s shadow but he may be an equally viable ROY candidate. He has fewer weaknesses than Wall and does virtually everything well. His ability to play both guard positions makes his team’s system less of an issue. He should be able to contribute wherever he is asked.
Contenders
• Wesley Johnson- Johnson has a complete offensive repertoire that should give him the opportunity to put up big stats from the get-go. Long and athletic, he is able to penetrate but has also drastically improved his outside shooting. Skilled in an up-tempo, transition game, Johnson’s chances at the Rookie of the Year Award would be greatly enhanced if drafted by a team like Golden State.
• DeMarcus Cousins- Cousins is likely the draft’s biggest wild-card and whichever team selects him will be getting a high-risk, high-reward player, both in the short term and in the long term. Cousins is a very enigmatic individual whose brilliance on the court is often sullied by his negative attitude. Cousins got into multiple rifts with his coach last year and there are questions about his coachability. He has often battled weight and stamina issues that prevented him from playing more minutes on Kentucky and making an even bigger impact. All the negativities aside, Cousins is an excellent center prospect with all the offensive tools to dominate if he applies himself.
• Luke Babbitt- Babbitt is a player whose stock has soared during the combines and workouts. He has a great inside-outside offensive game and can score in a myriad of ways. His left-handed jumpshot is silky smooth and reminds many of Chris Mullin and he is not afraid of throwing his lanky body into the post and scoring there too. Although a defensive liability, Babbitt is capable of putting up offensive numbers impressive enough to capture ROY, and NBA betting knows a young scorer like this can turn the tides in a close game.
Darkhorses
• Derrick Favors- Although one of the two or three most physically talented players in the draft, Favors proved to be a little raw in his one year at Georgia Tech and may need to mature for a few years before his full potential is realized. Nevertheless, he’s so talented that a solid coaching staff could bring out that potential in his rookie campaign.
• Lance Stephenson- Most people seeing Stephenson’s projection as a late first or early second rounder may be surprised by this projection. However, Stephenson is a top-ten talent who has been dogged by attitude questions, which are reflected in his low projection. But as a player, he is the complete package at point guard with an NBA body and great quickness. He is the real deal on offense and when motivated, on defense as well. Although Stephenson is somewhat of a risk, if he lands with the right coach he may end up being the steal of the draft and an immediate impact player.
Knowing who the next young starts will be is key to successful NBA betting. A young player can make the difference. When placing NBA bets go to www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.
NBA: Raptors invade Atlanta seeking playoff bid
2010-04-09
The Toronto Raptors find themselves in a difficult spot with just four games remaining in the NBA’s regular season. While tied with the Bulls for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference as of this morning, Toronto needs a win in a city it has struggled, Atlanta, all the while hoping to avoid looking ahead to Sunday’s showdown with Chicago. Making matters worse, Raptors star Chris Bosh could be sidelined for the rest of the season. Sportsbook.com has installed the host Hawks as 9-point favorites for Friday’s contest.
Three weeks ago, Bosh helped the Toronto Raptors take advantage of the absence of Atlanta Hawks leading scorer Joe Johnson. While Johnson might be out again Friday night in Atlanta, the Raptors won’t be able to rely on Bosh this time. Attempting to close in on the Eastern Conference’s final playoff berth, Toronto will try to overcome the loss of its leading scorer and rebounder and win in Atlanta for the first time in nearly 2 1/2 years.
Bosh made a 16-foot jumper with 2.1 seconds left in a 106-105 home victory over the Hawks on March 17, while Johnson sat with a strained Achilles’. That shot is one of the reasons Toronto (38-40, 35-41-2 ATS) is still battling Chicago for the eighth playoff spot in the East.
The Raptors will have to beat out the Bulls without Bosh, who’s expected to be sidelined for “weeks” while recovering from surgery to repair a facial fracture. The All-Star forward, whose averaging career bests of 24.0 points and 10.8 rebounds, suffered the injury when he took an inadvertent elbow from Cleveland forward Antawn Jamison in a 113-101 loss Tuesday.
The next night, Hedo Turkoglu bumped heads with Boston’s Tony Allen as Toronto dropped its third straight, 115-104. Turkoglu remains day-to-day after a CT scan showed no major injuries.
“When it rains it pours, I guess,” swingman Antoine Wright said. “We’re dropping like flies right now.” The spread losses are piling up as well with 4-14 ATS record after allowing 100 or more points.
Those injuries could hurt the Raptors, who are 6-13 ATS off SU loss, during a pivotal two-game stretch against the Hawks (49-29, 44-33-1 ATS) and Bulls, who visit Toronto on Sunday.
Heading to Atlanta doesn’t seem like a good way to begin as they’re winless in four trips (1-3 ATS) since a 100-88 victory Dec. 11, 2007. The Raptors, though, could have an opportunity to snap that skid if Johnson misses his fourth straight game with a sprained right thumb.
Before the loss in March, the Hawks had won four straight over Toronto with their leading scorer (21.2 ppg) in the lineup, including the first two meetings this season. In the previous matchup in Atlanta, they broke a Philips Arena scoring record with a 146-115 victory Dec. 2. Al Horford scored 24 points to lead nine Hawks players in double figures.
Atlanta, though, has scored 94.3 points per game - 7.3 below its season average - over its last nine contests, topping 100 just once. Despite those scoring struggles, the Hawks have won 10 straight at home (6-4 ATS), their longest streak since taking 20 straight from Nov. 12, 1996-Feb. 12, 1997.
Adding to that run would give Atlanta its first 50-win season since 1997-98 and also help in the race for the East’s No. 3 seed. The Hawks enter Friday tied with Boston with four games remaining for both clubs and they are 6-2 ATS if their opponent cracked the century mark in points in previous outing.
They’ll face a Raptors team that’s allowed at least 113 points in four straight games and an average of 108.7 during a 7-16 stretch. That could help the Hawks deliver a better performance than in Wednesday’s 90-88 loss at Detroit. Against a team that was missing five players, Atlanta blew a nine-point lead, getting outscored 25-16 in the fourth quarter.
Sportsbook.com released the Hawks as nine-point favorites with total of 202.5 in this battle of Eastern Conference clubs fighting for positioning in the playoffs. Atlanta is 14-4 ATS vs. Atlantic Division teams and 9-3 OVER off a spread loss.
Toronto is 4-1-1 ATS in last six road encounters, but 9-23 ATS if last outing was double digit loss. The Raptors are 7-3 OVER after a spread defeat.
NBA: NBA Thursday TNT Doubleheader
2010-01-29
In the two televised games on TNT tonight, a special situation occurs you don’t see every night. Boston and Dallas are the two road teams that are on television and they rank first and third respectively in the NBA for the best straight up road records at 16 -6 and 16-8. Their opponents are both in the Top 10 for the best home records, winning over 73 percent. This leaves Sportsbook.com bettors with the quandary of not only deciding which teams will cover the spreads, but also whether or not they are worth an accompanying money line wager.
Boston at Orlando 8:00 Eastern
The Celtics (29-13, 17-25 ATS) have the second best record in the Eastern Conference behind Cleveland. This veteran club is 16-6 on the road, but is far from a good bet despite that success. Boston is merely 11-11 ATS in the visiting green uniforms; however it’s hard to blame them for being average. The Celtics have been labeled a road favorite in 16 of their 22 road excursions. They are 12-4 SU, a very solid record, in those games, having won by an incredible 8.2 points per game, yet are 7-9 ATS, which ends up being more an indictment of the opposition, than of Boston.
The Orlando Magic (29-16, 21-21-3 ATS) have played 10 of their last 14 away from their central Florida home and will be in more familiar surroundings with four of their next five outings in front of the home folks. The Magic are 16-4 SU at Amway Arena (5th best home record) and punish visiting clubs by 10.4 points per game. In the gambling world, this type of success will bring high numbers from oddsmakers, which is why Orlando is a not so magical 10-9-1 ATS at home.
The Celtics only recently got Kevin Garnett back after he missed 10 games. While the defense has picked up immediately, the offense is lagging behind. Boston averages 99.7 points per game, but has only reached that figure twice in last nine tries. This explains a recent 3-6 ATS record, including losing five in a row. The Sportsbook.com oddsmakers have handed out the typical number for these evenly matched teams, making the C’s a four-point underdog with total of 187.5.
Boston is a deceiving 10-20 ATS after playing consecutive games as favorite this season (they win by 5.4 PPG). Orlando lost at Memphis in its previous game and is a splendid 34-12 ATS off a road defeat over the last three seasons. The road team has won three in a row in this matchup, including the Magic totaling a mere 77 points at home on Christmas Day, losing by nine as 5.5-point favorites. They are 23-11 ATS revenging a home loss. The total is the lowest in 11 regular season games at the city Walt Disney made famous and six of the last eight have played UNDER the number.
Dallas at Phoenix 10:30 Eastern
Dallas (30-15, 20-25 ATS) is a rock solid 16-8 on the road (15-9 ATS), winning by over four points per game. The Mavericks seem to be more comfortable away from home, despite having the same winning percentage, as evidenced by the +1.5 points per game scoring differential at American Airlines Center. Their one point 108-107 win over Milwaukee Tuesday got them into the NBA record books and it’s hard to determine if the Mavs are good or just lucky, as that win was their 10th straight victory by a single digit, tying the St. Louis Hawks from 50 years ago. Dallas is 47-26 ATS on the road after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more.
Phoenix (26-21, 22-24 ATS) is no longer on the rise. After starting 14-3, the Suns have been setting, losing 18 of their next 30. In that first part of the season, Phoenix at least gave a passing interest in attempting to play defense, allowing 104.5 points per game, since then the Suns have shown a greater disinterest in halting opponents from scoring, now ranked next to last in points allowed at 107.9.
Phoenix is 17-6 at home with an 11-11-1 ATS mark. They have been without two important bench players lately, Leandro Barbosa and Grant Hill, with Barbosa out six weeks after wrist surgery and Hill day-to-day with bum heel. Also swirling around the desert is the specter of Amare Stoudemire trade, which has him going pretty much everywhere but to a good team. While the Suns big man talks about wanting to win, his defense and rebounding would generously be described as ordinary. The floundering Suns are 7-21 ATS in January games over the last two seasons.
Phoenix is a 1.5-point home favorite with total of 216 and they are off a 114-109 overtime home loss to Charlotte. The Suns are 20-9 ATS in home games after contest in which both teams scored 105 points or more and are 18-8 OVER after draining a dozen or more three-point shots. Dallas on the other hand is 11-2 ATS as visitors after not covering the spread and 11-1 UNDER after two straight games where they made 50 percent of their shots or better.
The Suns are playing into triple revenge and have lost five of last six to the Mavs and needs to show some defensive acumen to improve the home record.
The StatFox Power Lines show Orlando by 7, and a Pick em’ in the nightcap.
NBA: Top NBA Weekend Power Trends
2009-01-30
It isn’t quite the fall of the Roman Empire, but he demise of the Detroit Pistons in 2008-09 has become one of the biggest stories in the NBA season. After dominating the decade with six straight trips to the Eastern Conference Finals, the Pistons have lost their way under first year head coach Michael Curry. The core nucleus that thrived on defense, rebounding, and clutch playmaking doesn’t seem to have that same ability minus Chauncey Billups. At 25-19 heading into this weekend’s games, Detroit is in danger of falling to the 6th seed in the East standings. They will be tested heavily at home in two separate contests, tonight against Boston, and Sunday versus Cleveland, both games on national TV. Those contests highlight another weekend of great betting opportunities in the NBA. Let’s take a look at some of the action on tap, as well as some of the Top StatFox Power Trends that you can put to use.
Friday’s action on ESPN tips off with the Celtics visiting Motown. The Pistons are just 13-9 SU & 7-15 ATS at home this season, including 1-1 as underdogs. They have gone cold of late, losing seven of their last 10, both straight up and against the pointspread. Quite the opposite for the Celtics, who carry in a 9-game winning streak in which they’ve gone 8-1 ATS. Not surprisingly, oddsmakers are heavily favoring Boston, installing the defending champs as 6-point favorites. The late matchup on ESPN features Golden State visiting New Orleans. The Warriors have had a decent month for their backers holding betting tickets, going 7-4-1 ATS. However, they are still mired at 14-32 on the season, including 4-21 SU & 8-16-1 ATS on the road. The Hornets are tied in the loss column with San Antonio atop the Southwest Division, and boast a 25-6 SU record as a favorite this season. Other big games on the Friday board include Atlanta hosting New Jersey, and the red-hot Timberwolves welcoming the Lakers to town. Minnesota is 12-6 SU & 13-4-1 ATS in its L18 games overall.
On Saturday there are 10 games to choose from, meaning several teams will be in back-to-back situations, including the Lakers who play the second game in a 6-game road trip at Memphis. On zero days rest this season, Los Angeles boasts an 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS record. The biggest game on the menu though comes from San Antonio where the Spurs host the Hornets. Coming off their big win at Phoenix on Thursday, the Spurs lead new Orleans by 1-1/2 games heading into the weekend. Assuming the Hornets knock off Golden State on Friday, they will be playing for a share of the division lead here. It certainly won’t be easy for CP3 & Co. however, as they are just 1-6 SU & 3-4 ATS in their L7 trips to the Alamo. Elsewhere, Utah faces a big game at Portland, as they try to chase down a playoff spot in the West.
The Sunday board is a light one, as the NBA has given way to the Super Bowl by scheduling just three matinee games and one in the evening.. The big one is brought to you by ABC, with a tip time of 2:35 PM ET, as the reelign Pistons host Cleveland. Despite the Cavs’ loss at Orlando on Thursday night, they still went into the weekend leading the Central Division by 10 games. Surprisingly, Detroit still boasts the better record in divisional play this season, 6-1 compared to 7-2. In fact, in these teams’ first and only meeting of ’08, Detroit beat Cleveland at home, 96-89, their third straight win in the head-to-head series. If you get bored with the Super Bowl Game or are looking for something to square up with in terms of your bankroll, don’t forget that Oklahoma City visits Sacramento in a 9:05 PM ET start on Sunday night. The Thunder have been easy money on the road this year, going 15-6 ATS heading into Friday night’s game at Utah.
Take a look at some of the Top StatFox Power Trends available for this weekend’s big NBA betting board:
Friday, 1/30/2009
(853) MILWAUKEE vs. (854) TORONTO
MILWAUKEE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus teams with a losing record in 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.1, OPPONENT 108.3 - (Rating = 2*)
(855) BOSTON vs. (856) DETROIT
DETROIT is 24-5 UNDER (+18.5 Units) vs.good rebounding teams outrebounding foess by 3+ RPG over last 2 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 91, OPPONENT 87.1 - (Rating = 4*)
(859) NEW JERSEY vs. (860) ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) at home playing with triple revenge (3 straight losses vs. opponent) over L3 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 102.7, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 2*)
(861) LA CLIPPERS vs. (862) CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) at home this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 104.4, OPPONENT 88 - (Rating = 3*)
(869) GOLDEN STATE vs. (870) NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) vs.poor teams - outscored by 3+ PPG in 2nd half of last 3 seasons. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 108, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 1/31/2009
(505) DALLAS vs. (506) MIAMI
MIAMI is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) at home when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 90.9, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 1*)
(509) LA LAKERS vs. (510) MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) at home versus teams with a winning record in 2nd half of the last 2 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 95.9, OPPONENT 114 - (Rating = 3*)
(509) LA LAKERS vs. (510) MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) as a home underdog this season. The average score was MEMPHIS 91.3, OPPONENT 92.3 - (Rating = 3*)
(517) CHICAGO vs. (518) PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) vs.poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season. The average score was PHOENIX 104.7, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 2/1/2009
(851) ORLANDO vs. (852) TORONTO
ORLANDO is 22-4 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 105, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 4*)
(853) MINNESOTA vs. (854) BOSTON
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. The average score was MINNESOTA 98.6, OPPONENT 103 - (Rating = 1*)
(857) OKLAHOMA CITY vs. (858) SACRAMENTO
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) vs.teams who make 6 or more 3PT shots/game this season. The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 97.8, OPPONENT 104.2 - (Rating = 2*)