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NBA: Utah at Phoenix (10:30 PM ET, TNT)
2010-03-05
As two of the Western Conference’s best home teams, it’s safe to say the Utah Jazz and the Phoenix Suns will be going all out to try to lock up home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Three head-to-head meetings over the final six weeks might determine if either one can secure it. The Suns look for an eighth win in nine games overall and a sixth straight victory at US Airways Center on Thursday night when they host the Jazz in a potential first-round playoff preview. Phoenix is a slight 1.5-point favorite at Sportsbook.com and getting the lion’s share of support from bettors.
Phoenix (39-24, 36-26-1 ATS) went nearly two months (Dec. 1-Jan. 26) without winning three in a row after three separate four-game winning streaks during the first month of the season, but has gotten back on track of late.
One game out of a playoff spot on Jan. 27, the Suns have since gone 13-3 to pull into the West’s No. 5 slot - one-half game behind Utah (38-22, 36-21-3 ATS). They’ve won seven of eight (8-0 ATS) and have limited opponents to 92.0 points per game - 11.2 below their season average - while winning five straight at home. Phoenix has the fifth best record against the spread in the NBA and is 9-1 ATS playing against a team with win percentage of 60-70% this season.
Don’t think the Suns have suddenly turned into the Pat Riley coached Knicks of the 1990’s, with strictly defensive focus; they still lead the league in points scored at 109.4 points per game. The scorching Suns are heating up the opposition on a current 14-2 spread run.
While the Suns embarrassed the Clippers on their home floor, Utah was unable to do the same Monday. The Jazz fell behind Los Angeles by 17 points in the fourth quarter. They mounted a late rally, but came up short and lost 108-104.
Utah fell to 6-10 in games decided by five points or fewer (6-9-1 ATS), with three of those defeats coming in Jerry Sloan’s club’s last five games. “You’re going to have 10 or 15 games that you look back on after the season and say maybe you should have won those,” Sloan said. “But the other teams have those games as well, so you can’t worry about those games once they’re over. I automatically forget - because I can’t remember.” It is however worth remembering the Jazz are 11-2 ATS off a road loss this season.
Deron Williams has been in a shooting slump, but he’s not having trouble finding his teammates. Williams has had 10 consecutive double-digit assist games overall, and six in a row against Phoenix. Utah arrives in downtown Phoenix 15-5 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this campaign.
Sportsbook.com has Utah as 1.5-point underdog with total of 213 and they are 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Suns low number appears off a bit since they have the fourth best spread mark of 17-12-1 on their home floor, however, that is essentially negated with the Jazz 16-11-1 ATS. The Suns are brimming with confidence and are 11-2 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 99 or more points a game in the second portion of the schedule.
These teams meet again in Phoenix on March 19 before closing the regular season in Salt Lake City on April 14. Tonight’s tilt is on TNT starting around 10:35 Eastern and the Suns are 11-0 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival over the last two seasons. The StatFox Power Line shows Phoenix by 3
NBA: Denver tries to erase short skid
2010-03-03
After coming up empty in a pair of road games, the Denver Nuggets are probably looking forward to staying at home for a few days. Awaiting them in their return, however, will be one of the NBA’s hottest teams. The Nuggets will try to avoid matching their longest losing streak of the season Wednesday night against the Oklahoma City Thunder, winners of 12 of 14 (9-5 ATS). Sportsbook.com shows the Nuggets as 7.5-point favorites, with a total of 207.5.
During a two-game trip to face the Los Angeles Lakers and Phoenix, Denver (39-21, 28-29-3 ATS) suffered consecutive defeats for the first time since dropping three straight from Dec. 25-28. After falling 95-89 to the Western Conference-leading Lakers, the Nuggets lost 101-85 to the Suns on Monday night.
The Nuggets built a nine-point lead after one quarter but couldn’t recover after getting outscored 33-11 over the next 12 minutes, recording their lowest point total for any quarter this season. Star forward Carmelo Anthony missed 14 of 21 shots overall and finished with 17 points for his lowest output since Dec. 27. Denver is 4-12 ATS playing their third game in four days this season.
“We’re not happy now but a week from now, hopefully after we win a few home games, we will be happy,” coach George Karl said.
Winning the opener of their three-game homestand would probably make Karl very happy considering how his team performed in its previous meeting with the Thunder (36-23, 35-24 ATS) on Jan. 29. The Nuggets shot 40.3 percent while getting blown out 101-84 and the Thunder connected at a 51.9 percent clip as they snapped a five-game slide in the series. Kevin Durant scored 30 points and shot 12 for 19.
That was the first of 12 wins in a stretch of 14 games for Oklahoma City, which continued the surge with a 113-107 victory over Sacramento on Tuesday night and they are 19-10 ATS on the road this season.
Durant once again led Oklahoma City with 39 points, the 32nd time in 33 games he’s had at least 25. The All-Star forward has also scored at least 30 points in his last six meetings with Denver, averaging 32.3. However, Durant wasn’t completely pleased with the Thunder’s performance against the Kings after they allowed an opponent to reach the century mark for only the sixth time in 21 games.
“We’re satisfied with the win. Of course, we didn’t play the way we wanted to, but you’re going to have games like that,” Durant said. “I think that we did a better job of responding to that and coming out and scoring points and getting everybody involved, and we got stops when we needed them.” Oklahoma City is 21-11 ATS facing a team with a winning record this season.
The Thunder, winners of five of six on the road (3-3 ATS), hasn’t won in Denver since relocating to Oklahoma City from Seattle. The franchise has dropped five straight (three covers) at the Pepsi Center since March 28, 2007, including a 102-93 defeat Dec. 14. Anthony scored 31 points in that win and has averaged 30.8 points in the last six matchups with the Thunder, but an ankle injury kept him out of the loss in Oklahoma City in January.
The Nuggets bench could be a little thin in Wednesday’s game with reserves Chris Andersen (chronic patella tendinitis) and Ty Lawson (sprained left thumb) dealing with injuries, nevertheless they are 6.5-point favorites with total of 207 at Sportsbook.com. Denver is 23-12 ATS revenging a same season loss and 31-14 ATS against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last two years. Oklahoma City is a sharp 14-6 ATS as a road underdog, losing by less than a point per game this season.
This game is available at 9:00 Eastern in local markets and these teams have played OVER eight of last 10 contests.
The StatFox Power Line shows Denver by 3, well short of Sportsbook.com’s pointspread, perhaps indicating value on the Thunder.
Monday Means all Systems Go in NBA
2010-02-22
The Utah Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA, winners of 13 of 14 (11-2-1 ATS) and last four in a row, all on the road. They return home against Atlanta who is wrapping up its four game road trip, who has the edge? For the answer to this and other NBA betting edges, read on about today’s top system plays in professional hoops. Get the latest prices on all of Monday’s five games on the LIVE ODDS page of Sportsbook.com.
Chicago (-3, 201) at Washington
Even with an eye on next season already, Chicago Bulls’ players are focused on the present. The Bulls front office has made trades freeing cap space to go after at least one of the enticing free agents in the market place after the season, however the current collection of players have covered seven of eight and five in a row. For tonight’s matchup, the total draws the most attention since road teams with a total of 200 or higher, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, are 32-10 OVER since 1996.
Milwaukee (+1.5, 206.5) at New York
The New York Knicks have lost six straight and almost won as Tracy McGrady made his debut in the Knicks uniform, falling 121-118 to Oklahoma City Saturday night. Having lost three of four at home to Milwaukee, tonight’s situation does not set up much better as teams revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, are 43-70 ATS since 2004-05, including all six this year.
Indiana (+9, 208.5) at Dallas
The Dallas Mavericks have a run of the mill home record at 17-9; however they are positively disgusting or delightful, depending on what side you wager on them, with a league worst 6-20 ATS home record. Everything doesn’t figure to improve immediately, since home teams playing their fifth game in a week, with a win percent of 60 to 75 percent, playing a team with a losing record, are 20-55 the last 12 years.
Atlanta (+5, 196) at Utah
Both teams are playing their third game in four days, with one obvious distinction; Atlanta has lost their last two, while Utah has won not only previous two, but four in a row. That in theory at least gives the Jazz the edge as home teams covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 31-7 ATS.
